Khalil Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 9th-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
While Khalil Herbert has earned 37.6% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Chicago's ground game this week at 19.9%.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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