reorder

KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2300/-2800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +3000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

After accruing 9.0 air yards per game last season, KhaDarel Hodge has undergone big improvement this season, now sitting at 22.0 per game.

KhaDarel Hodge's 13.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 5.9.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

KhaDarel Hodge has been been lightly used his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers.

More KhaDarel Hodge Player Props

KhaDarel Hodge TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9