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The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 49.9% red zone run rate.KhaDarel Hodge has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers.KhaDarel Hodge's 9.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 15th percentile for wide receivers.
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