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KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • While KhaDarel Hodge has earned 3.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Atlanta's pass game this week at 14.0%.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • With a mere 0.7 adjusted catches per game (7th percentile) this year, KhaDarel Hodge ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
  • KhaDarel Hodge grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 26.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 4th percentile among WRs
  • The Saints linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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