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KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • While KhaDarel Hodge has earned 3.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Atlanta's pass game this week at 13.0%.
  • After accumulating 9.0 air yards per game last season, KhaDarel Hodge has produced significantly more this season, now sitting at 17.0 per game.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • KhaDarel Hodge checks in as one of the worst WRs in the game this year, averaging a lowly 7.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 5th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • KhaDarel Hodge grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 26.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 4th percentile among WRs
  • With a poor 2.6 adjusted yards per target (2nd percentile) this year, KhaDarel Hodge has been as one of the bottom WRs in the game in the league.

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