My Account Log Out

reorder

KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Atlanta Falcons last year (a whopping 59.2 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) last year.

Last year, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a massive 151.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons to be the least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.

The model projects the Falcons to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Khadarel Hodge has been been lightly used his team's offense, earning a Target Share of just 2.4% last year, which ranks him in the 8th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Khadarel Hodge has totaled a feeble 9.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 23rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

More KhaDarel Hodge Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™