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Kevin Austin Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

Kevin Austin Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-810).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -640 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -810.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

The projections expect Kevin Austin Jr. to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (17.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).

The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has yielded a colossal 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last year, Kevin Austin Jr. has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 12.0 per game.

Kevin Austin Jr.'s 9.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 21.9.

Kevin Austin Jr. ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 51.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs

More Kevin Austin Jr. Player Props

Kevin Austin Jr. TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

Kevin Austin Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17