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Kevin Austin Jr.

Kevin Austin Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kevin Austin Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-1850).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1850.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 6th-most TDs through the air in football to WRs: 1.20 per game this year.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.80 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (0th percentile) since the start of last season, Kevin Austin Jr. stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • With a lousy ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Kevin Austin Jr. has been among the weakest receiving TD-scorers in the league among wideouts since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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