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Kevin Austin Jr.

Kevin Austin Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kevin Austin Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints offensive scheme to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 59.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.
  • Kevin Austin Jr. has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.6%).

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