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Kevin Austin Jr.

Kevin Austin Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kevin Austin Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • While Kevin Austin Jr. has received 4.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New Orleans's passing offense in this contest at 16.0%.
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has yielded a colossal 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last year, Kevin Austin Jr. has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 12.0 per game.
  • Kevin Austin Jr. ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 51.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs
  • With a weak 6.5 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Kevin Austin Jr. stands among the weakest wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

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