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Keon Coleman

Keon Coleman Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Keon Coleman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+142/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -164 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has conceded a staggering 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in football.
  • The Miami defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 121.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

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