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Kenyan Drake

Kenyan Drake Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

Kenyan Drake Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 27th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kenyan Drake to be a much smaller part of his team's run game this week (21.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (34.0% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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