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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • The Raiders have been the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The running TD line reads "0" on Kenny Pickett's stats page since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • While Kenny Pickett has earned 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Las Vegas's rushing attack near the goal line in this contest at 6.8%.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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