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Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup QB Kenny Pickett.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

The projections expect Kenny Pickett to attempt 23.0 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 1.12 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

More Kenny Pickett Player Props

Kenny Pickett TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18