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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • While Kenny Pickett has earned 4.3% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's ground game in this game at 14.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • The Raiders have been the 9th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 37.0% run rate.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).

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