Kenny Pickett Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 14, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.0% pass rate.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).
Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
Kenny Pickett has attempted a measly 7.2 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile among QBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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