Kenny Pickett Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 14, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
While Kenny Pickett has earned 4.3% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's ground game in this game at 14.8%.

Favors Under

The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
The Raiders have been the 9th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 37.0% run rate.
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).

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