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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Walker III to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (8.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a monstrous 0.40 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.6% red zone run rate.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Kenneth Walker III's 9.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 19.4.
  • Kenneth Walker III does not have any receiving TDs this year.

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