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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+113/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • While Kenneth Walker III has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's passing offense near the end zone this week at 10.0%.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 90th percentile for RBs.
  • This year, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a colossal 0.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.7% red zone run rate.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 88.7% rate.
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Kenneth Walker III's trading card this year.

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