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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Seattle's pass game near the goal line this week at 11.2%.

Kenneth Walker III's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (49.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

Kenneth Walker III has accrued a measly -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 3rd percentile among running backs.

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Kenneth Walker III grades out in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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