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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

With an exceptional 20.0% Red Zone Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

With an exceptional 89.6% Adjusted Catch% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

While Kenneth Walker III has garnered 58.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Seattle's rushing attack near the end zone in this game at 44.4%.

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