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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kenneth Walker III rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a remarkable 91.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.55 per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
  • The Patriots safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (50.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.

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