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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Kenneth Walker III profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching a terrific 91.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.42 per game) against the Rams defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • While Kenneth Walker III has earned 35.8% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Seattle's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 65.8%.
  • When it comes to air yards, Kenneth Walker III ranks in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

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