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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kenneth Walker III is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a remarkable 89.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.

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