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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Kenneth Walker III is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching a terrific 88.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.
  • This year, the formidable Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.36 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Among all RBs, Kenneth Walker III grades out in the 78th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 42.2% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 10.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 19.4.

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