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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+192/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +192.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Seattle's pass game near the goal line this week at 6.2%.
  • Kenneth Walker III's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 88.6% to 91.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 8.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 19.4.
  • This year, Kenneth Walker III has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.
  • The Rams defense has allowed the 10th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the league to running backs: 0.11 per game this year.

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