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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +166 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Walker III to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (6.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 19.4.
  • Kenneth Walker III has not scored a touchdown through the air this year.

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