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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Kenneth Walker III is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 82nd percentile among running backs with 15.1 rush attempts.
  • With an impressive rate of 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Kenneth Walker III has been as one of the top RBs in the NFL this year.
  • Kenneth Walker III's 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a material growth in his rushing skills over last season's 3.6 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his team's running game this year (51.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (66.1%).
  • The Commanders linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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