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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker III to earn 14.3 carries in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Kenneth Walker III has generated 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (83rd percentile).
  • Kenneth Walker III's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a remarkable improvement in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.6 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this season (51.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (66.1%).

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