Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.83 yards-per-carry.
The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.