Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.1 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 107 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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