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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-134/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +133 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • In this week's contest, Kenneth Walker III is expected by the model to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.
  • Kenneth Walker III profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching a terrific 91.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game this year (8.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.0%).
  • Kenneth Walker III's play as a receiver has worsened this season, averaging a mere 1.6 adjusted catches compared to 4.2 last season.
  • The Rams pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) vs. running backs this year (78.1%).

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