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Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

With an exceptional 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs.

This year, the poor San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered a massive 87.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his team's passing game this year (7.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (14.0%).

More Kenneth Walker III Player Props

Kenneth Walker III ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 18