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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Kenneth Walker is expected by the model to position himself in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 3.8 targets.

Kenneth Walker has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 14.0% last year, which ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a terrific 4.2 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) last year, Kenneth Walker rates among the top running backs in the pass game in the league.

Last year, the poor San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.9 per game) last year.

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