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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • In this game, Kenneth Walker III is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kenneth Walker III's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 8.00 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.07 rate last season.
  • This year, the feeble Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a whopping 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Kenneth Walker III has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • Kenneth Walker III's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 88.7% rate.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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