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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

This week, Kenneth Walker III is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.

Kenneth Walker III has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 13.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

Kenneth Walker III grades out as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 26.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

Kenneth Walker III has put up a meager -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 2nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

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