Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 22, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2026 11:27 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker III to accumulate 2.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kenneth Walker III rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a remarkable 91.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.
Kenneth Walker III's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this season marks a material gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.1 mark.
This year, the shaky New England Patriots pass defense has yielded a whopping 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.
Kenneth Walker III has been a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this season (8.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.0%).

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