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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kenneth Walker III is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a remarkable 89.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.
  • Kenneth Walker III's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, notching 8.25 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 6.08 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his offense's passing attack this year (7.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (14.0%).

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