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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-113/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his team's run game this season (50.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (66.1%).
  • The Texans defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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