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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 41.6% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most run-oriented team in football has been the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Walker III to garner 19.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Walker III to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (66.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (49.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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