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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Walker III to accumulate 13.3 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The San Francisco defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.
  • After making up 66.1% of his team's rush attempts last year, Kenneth Walker III has played a smaller part in the run game this year, now making up only 49.9%.

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