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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.4% run rate.
  • This week, Kenneth Walker III is expected by the model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.5 rush attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 66.1% of his offense's carries last year, Kenneth Walker III has played a smaller part in the run game this year, now taking on only 52.0%.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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