Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kenneth Walker to notch 15.6 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Kenneth Walker has garnered 61.2% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Seahawks rank as the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 36.3% run rate.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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