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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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