Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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