Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.4% run rate.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.