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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-460).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +420 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.0% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 19.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 7.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 49.0% rate of running the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Steelers.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has accrued a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Kenneth Gainwell's stats page this year.

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