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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • With an elite 18.8% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell stands among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 22.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.3% to 91.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (46.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has accrued a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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