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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +365 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +182.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

While Kenneth Gainwell has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Pittsburgh's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 14.1%.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.70 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.6% red zone run rate.

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

The leading projections forecast Kenneth Gainwell to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game near the end zone this week (65.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Divvying up all of his team's air yards this year, Kenneth Gainwell has only earned a paltry -4.3%, ranking him in the 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Kenneth Gainwell profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, catching a measly 77.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

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