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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-280).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • With a remarkable 20.7% Red Zone Target% (99th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell stands among the pass-game running backs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 7.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the league.
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has allowed a feeble 0.12 passing TDs per game to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in the league.

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