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Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-198).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +178.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.Kenneth Gainwell has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.5% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among running backs.Kenneth Gainwell's 23.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 7.4.The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.Kenneth Gainwell's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 74.4% to 92.1%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has given up a meager 0.13 passing TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
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